バース大学がエリートサッカーにおける世界最大級の成長と成熟に関する研究を主導(University of Bath leads world’s largest growth and maturation study in elite football)

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2025-08-05 バース大学

バース大学とエディンバラ大学の研究チームは、スコットランドサッカー協会の依頼で、世界最大規模のエリート育成年代サッカー選手1,000名以上を対象に、成長と生物学的成熟度に関する研究を実施した。結果、早熟選手に選考が偏る「セレクションバイアス」が確認され、遅熟選手が不利になる実態が判明。これを受け、スコットランドでは生物学的年齢に基づく柔軟なグループ分けを導入。今後は成長スパート期と怪我の関係にも焦点を当てた介入研究が予定されている。

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スコットランドサッカー協会傘下のクラブアカデミー・スコットランドにおける選手選考に及ぼす相対的年齢と生物学的成熟度の影響 The influence of relative age and biological maturation on player selection in the Scottish football associations Club Academy Scotland

Steven Curnyn,Mark Leslie,Debbie Palmer,Sean Williams & Sean Cumming
Journal of Sports Sciences  Published:03 Jul 2025
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1080/02640414.2025.2527436

バース大学がエリートサッカーにおける世界最大級の成長と成熟に関する研究を主導(University of Bath leads world’s largest growth and maturation study in elite football)

ABSTRACT

Relative age and biological maturation significantly impact talent identification and development in football, with professional academies often favouring relatively older and early maturing players. This study investigated these biases across Club Academy Scotland (CAS). The biological maturation of 1,011 players (U10–U18) across 12 CAS academies was assessed using the Khamis-Roche method. One-sided t-tests were conducted to test the null hypotheses that the true mean was 0.5 (relative age) and 0 (biological age – chronological age [BA-CA]). A significant bias favouring early maturing players emerged from U12. The BA-CA offset effect sizes ranged from small (U12, Hedges’ g = 0.22) to large (U18, Hedges’ g = 1.44). A relative age effect was statistically significant across most groups, with a large effect in U10 (Hedges g = 1.19) but smaller effects in all other groups (Hedges g = 0.16–0.41). This study demonstrated that a RAE exists within professional Scottish football academies, albeit to a small-to-moderate degree, but a larger bias towards earlier developing players exists from U12 and increases in magnitude with each age group. Regular monitoring of biological maturation is essential to address this bias, maximise the talent pool from Scotland’s relatively small population, and support developmentally appropriate training programmes in CAS academies.

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