血液検査により多疾患併存リスクを予測できることを示した研究 (Blood test can predict multimorbidity)

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2026-02-03 スウェーデン王立工科大学(KTH)

高齢者の複数慢性疾患(multimorbidity)リスクを予測する簡便な血液検査法が報告された。研究ではスウェーデンで60歳以上約2,200人の血液中54種のバイオマーカーを測定し、炎症・血管機能・代謝・神経変性に関連する指標と疾患パターンや発症速度との関係を調査した。特に代謝関連7指標が、特定の疾患群と疾患増加速度に強く関連し、単一検査で多疾患併存リスクを把握できる可能性が示された。将来的に高リスク者を早期に特定し、予防介入や個別化医療につなげる期待がある。

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多疾患に対する共通および特異的血液バイオマーカー Shared and specific blood biomarkers for multimorbidity

Alice Margherita Ornago,Caterina Gregorio,Federico Triolo,Ann Zenobia Moore,Alessandra Marengoni,Giorgi Beridze,Giulia Grande,Giuseppe Bellelli,Matilda Dale,Claudia Fredolini,Luigi Ferrucci,Laura Fratiglioni,Amaia Calderón-Larrañaga & Davide Liborio Vetrano
Nature Medicine  Published:02 January 2026
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-025-04038-2

血液検査により多疾患併存リスクを予測できることを示した研究 (Blood test can predict multimorbidity)

Abstract

Aging is accompanied by the progressive accumulation of biological deficits, which increases susceptibility to developing multiple chronic diseases (that is, multimorbidity). The biological underpinnings of multimorbidity remain poorly understood. Here we analyzed 54 blood biomarkers reflecting inflammatory, vascular, metabolic and neurodegenerative processes in 2,247 individuals aged 60 and over from the Swedish National Study on Aging and Care in Kungsholmen. Multimorbidity was assessed using three measures: baseline total disease count, baseline multimorbidity patterns identified through latent class analysis and 15-year rate of disease accumulation. Associations between baseline biomarkers and multimorbidity measures were examined using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression. Growth differentiation factor 15, hemoglobin A1c, cystatin C, leptin and insulin were consistently and positively associated with all multimorbidity measures. Additional biomarkers demonstrated specific associations with distinct multimorbidity patterns. Moreover, faster disease accumulation was directly associated with gamma-glutamyl transferase and inversely with albumin. Longitudinal results were externally validated in 522 participants from the Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging, with comparable predictive accuracy. Our findings suggest that multiple biological processes contribute to multimorbidity through shared and distinct mechanisms. Metabolic disturbances emerged as a key driver of multimorbidity. If confirmed, these processes could represent targets for interventions to mitigate disease accumulation.

医療・健康
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