脅威の認識と本能的反応の研究(When warnings never cease, can we still trust our instincts?)

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2025-07-02 カリフォルニア大学バークレー校(UCB)

UCバークレーのランドゥー=ウェルズ教授は、現代社会における過剰なストレスや誤情報により、人間の本能的な警戒反応が誤作動しやすくなると指摘。幼少期の恐怖体験が誤警報を生み、本来のリスク認識を歪める恐れがある。リーダーや市民が直感に頼らず、正確な情報選別力を持つことの重要性を訴える。脳科学の進展により「警戒スイッチ」の制御方法が明らかになれば、フェイク情報に惑わされず、本質的な危機に集中できる社会が構築可能だと提案。

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脳から構築する: 国際関係における脅威認識研究の進展 Building from the Brain: Advancing the Study of Threat Perception in International Relations

Marika Landau-Wells
International Organization  Published:20 December 2024
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1017/S0020818324000328

脅威の認識と本能的反応の研究(When warnings never cease, can we still trust our instincts?)

Abstract

“Threat perception” is frequently invoked as a causal variable in theories of international relations and foreign policy decision making. Yet haphazard conceptualization and untested psychological assumptions leave its effects poorly understood. In this article, I propose a unified solution to these two related problems: taking the brain into account. I first show that this approach solves the conceptualization problem by generating two distinct concepts that generalize across existing theories, align with plain language, and are associated with specific brain-level processes: threat-as-danger perception (subjectively apprehending danger from any source) and threat-as-signal perception (detecting a statement of the intention to harm). Because both types of perception occur in the brain, large-scale neuroimaging data capturing these processes offer a way to empirically test some of the psychological assumptions embedded in IR theories. I conduct two such tests using assumptions from the literatures on conflict decision making (“harms are costs”) and on coercion (“intentions are inscrutable”). Based on an original analysis of fifteen coordinate-based meta-analyses comprising 500+ studies and 11,000+ subjects, I conclude that these assumptions are inconsistent with the cumulative evidence about how the brain responds to threats of either kind. Further, I show that brain-level data illuminate aspects of threat perception’s impact on behavior that have not yet been integrated into IR theory. Advancing the study of threat perception thus requires a microfoundational approach that builds from what we know about the brain.

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