単一細胞腫瘍データからがん生存率を予測するAIモデルを開発(NIH-funded AI model predicts cancer survival from single-cell tumor data)

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2026-04-21 アメリカ国立衛生研究所(NIH)

米国国立衛生研究所支援の研究で、単一細胞レベルの腫瘍データを用いてがん患者の生存率を予測するAIモデルが開発された。従来の平均化されたデータでは捉えにくかった腫瘍内の細胞多様性を反映し、より精度の高い予後予測が可能となる。モデルは細胞ごとの遺伝子発現パターンを解析し、腫瘍の進行性や治療反応性との関連を抽出する。これにより、患者ごとのリスク評価や個別化治療戦略の最適化が期待される。単一細胞解析とAIを融合した本研究は、精密医療の進展に大きく寄与する成果である。

<関連情報>

scSurvival:細胞解像度での臨床がんコホートデータの単一細胞生存分析 scSurvival: Single-Cell Survival Analysis of Clinical Cancer Cohort Data at Cellular Resolution

Tao Ren;Faming Zhao;Canping Chen;Le Zhou;Ling-Yun Wu;Gordon B. Mills;Lisa M. Coussens;Zheng Xia
Cancer Discovery  Published:April 21 2026
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1158/2159-8290.CD-25-0965

Abstract

Survival analysis is fundamental to cancer research. Advances in technology have enabled an increasing number of cohort-level cancer studies to incorporate single-cell sequencing alongside clinical survival data. However, no effective strategy currently exists for directly modeling survival outcomes from single-cell data. To address this gap, we present scSurvival, an attention-based multiple-instance Cox regression framework that models each tumor sample as an ensemble of cells to predict survival outcomes at both the patient and single-cell levels. To handle high dimensionality, sparsity, and batch effects, scSurvival integrates a variational autoencoder–based feature extraction module with generative modeling to enhance feature robustness and cross-batch generalizability. Comprehensive simulations demonstrate scSurvival’s superior performance and scalability. In melanoma and liver cancer single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) cohorts, scSurvival accurately predicts patient outcomes and identifies the cell subpopulations most critical to survival. Overall, scSurvival enables robust prediction of patient survival while uncovering survival-associated cell subpopulations, advancing single-cell survival analysis in cancer research.

Significance:

Survival analysis is central to clinical oncology, yet no effective tools currently model survival outcomes directly from single-cell data. scSurvival bridges this gap by predicting patient outcomes and identifying key subpopulations from scRNA-seq with survival information, enabling scalable analyses and promoting broader adoption of cohort-level single-cell profiling in cancer research.

医療・健康
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