海洋生態学者によると、気候変動の影響は海洋生態系を複数の波で襲う(Climate change effects hit marine ecosystems in multiple waves, according to marine ecologists)

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2023-11-15 ブラウン大学

◆新しい研究によれば、気候変動の海洋生態系への影響をより正確に理解し、将来の結果を予測するためには、気温の上昇傾向と局所温度の変動の相互作用を考慮する新しいアプローチが必要です。
◆ブラウン大学の生物学者が共同執筆した論文は、気温の変動が海洋ヒートウェーブなどの異常な温暖イベントを増加させるメカニズムを強調しています。これにより、海洋生物が滑らかな気温上昇傾向とその変動との相互作用によって影響を受けることが明らかになり、これを考慮した新しいモデルが提案されています。

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滑らかさとトゲトゲしさ: 海洋気候変動生態学における変動の重要性 Smooth and Spiky: The Importance of Variability in Marine Climate Change Ecology

Jon D. Witman,Andrew J. Pershing,and John F. Bruno
Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics  Published:August 8, 2023
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-022323-082123

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Abstract

Greenhouse gas emissions are warming the ocean with profound consequences at all levels of organization, from organismal rates to ecosystem processes. The proximate driver is an interplay between anthropogenic warming (the trend) and natural fluctuations in local temperature. These two properties cause anomalously warm events such as marine heatwaves to occur with increasing frequency and magnitude. Because warming and variance are not uniform, there is a large degree of geographic variation in temporal temperature variability. We review the underappreciated interaction between trend and variance in the ocean and how it modulates ecological responses to ocean warming. For example, organisms in more thermally variable environments are often more acclimatized and/or adapted to temperature extremes and are thus less sensitive to anthropogenic heatwaves. Considering both trend and variability highlights the importance of processes like legacy effects and extinction debt that influence the rate of community transformation.

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