フェラン・マクダーミド症候群の有病率を明らかにした自閉症研究(Landmark Autism Research Finds Phelan-McDermid Syndrome May Affect 1 in 7,300 People)

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2026-07-09 マウントサイナイ医療システム(MSHS)

マウントサイナイ・アイカーン医科大学(Mount Sinai)の研究チームは、自閉スペクトラム症(ASD)の代表的な遺伝性疾患であるフェラン・マクダーミッド症候群(Phelan-McDermid syndrome:PMS)の有病率を再評価し、従来考えられていたよりもはるかに高く、**約7,300人に1人**が罹患している可能性を明らかにした。研究では、遺伝子検査機関や研究コホートなど10のデータソースから約18万人のASD症例を解析し、検査法ごとの感度の違いを補正した多元的モデルを構築した。その結果、PMSの推定有病率は人口10万人当たり13.7人(95%信頼区間:10.0~18.6人)となり、これまでの推定値を大幅に上回った。PMSは主に**SHANK3**遺伝子の欠失・変異が原因で、知的障害や言語障害、自閉症などを伴う。今回の成果は、PMSが決して極めて稀な疾患ではないことを示すとともに、診断体制の充実や患者支援、治療開発、市場規模の評価に重要な基礎データを提供するものであり、希少疾患の有病率推定手法としても応用が期待される。

<関連情報>

マルチソースモデルを用いたフェラン・マクダーミッド症候群の有病率は約1:7300と推定される Prevalence of Phelan McDermid Syndrome Estimated To Be ~1:7300 Using a Multisource Model

Tess Levy, David Lapidus, Kate Friedman, Paige Siper, Larry Glass, Liza Squires, Mary Hames, Joseph D. Buxbaum, Genetic Testing Consortium, Alexander Kolevzon
Autism Research  Published: 28 June 2026
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1002/aur.70297

フェラン・マクダーミド症候群の有病率を明らかにした自閉症研究(Landmark Autism Research Finds Phelan-McDermid Syndrome May Affect 1 in 7,300 People)

ABSTRACT

Estimating the prevalence of genetic disorders is complicated by many factors including sampling bias and differing methods of estimation. However, establishing the true prevalence of these disorders is critical for understanding disease burden, pharmacoeconomic modeling, and resource allocation for testing and care. Phelan-McDermid syndrome (PMS) is a genetic neurodevelopmental disorder with an unknown true prevalence and previous estimates vary from 2.5–10 per million births. The study team reached out to a multitude of sources, including clinical genetic testing laboratories, research centers, and clinical centers. Sites provided the number of PMS diagnoses made out of the total number participants with autism tested at their site. Further extrapolations were made to adjust for the proportion of individuals with PMS who do not have autism, autism diagnosis age limitations, and type of genetic variant. Lastly, Centers for Disease Control estimates of autism rates were used to extrapolate to the general population. Ten sources participated and data from 179,837 autism cases were evaluated. The frequency of PMS diagnoses ranged from 1% to ~2.5%. However, the studies had different levels of sensitivity depending on the assay(s) used, and therefore raw results should not be directly compared. After applying extrapolations, including adjustments for assay sensitivity and other factors, the final weighted average was 13.7 per 100,000 (95% CI 10.02–18.60 per 100,000), indicating 1 in ~7300 individuals in the general population have PMS. We leveraged a diverse set of genetic data from multiple sources to generate a population-level estimate of the prevalence of PMS. Our findings indicate that PMS affects approximately 13.7 per 100,000 individuals, substantially higher than previous estimates.

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