山火事煙への長期曝露が心血管疾患リスクを高めることを解明(Prolonged Exposure to Wildfire Smoke Increases Cardiovascular Health Risks)

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2026-07-22 イェール大学

米国イェール大学公衆衛生大学院の研究チームは、米国の6,520万人以上の65歳以上のメディケア受給者(2017~2022年)を対象に、山火事由来の微小粒子状物質(PM2.5)への長期累積曝露と心血管疾患による入院リスクとの関連を解析した。その結果、数年間にわたり比較的低濃度の山火事煙にさらされるだけでも、虚血性心疾患、不整脈、心不全、脳血管疾患などによる入院リスクが有意に上昇することが判明した。特に脳血管疾患では、曝露量の増加に伴いリスクが継続的に高まる傾向が認められ、社会経済的に不利な集団ほど影響を受けやすいことも示された。研究は、山火事の健康影響は火災発生時の急性曝露だけでなく、長期にわたる累積曝露にも注意が必要であることを示しており、気候変動による山火事増加を踏まえ、大気質警報やクリーンエアシェルターの整備など公衆衛生対策の重要性を提言している。

<関連情報>

米国の高齢者における山火事の煙PM2.5への長期累積曝露が心血管疾患による入院に及ぼす影響:人口ベースのコホート研究 Impact of Long-Term Cumulative Exposure to Wildfire Smoke PM2.5 on Cardiovascular Hospital Admissions Among Older Adults in the United States: A Population-Based Cohort Study

Siqi Zhang, Yongfei Wang, Jing Wei, Tarik Benmarhnia, Yang Liu, Harlan M. Krumholz, Yuan Lu , and Kai Chen
Journal of American College of Cardiology  Published:18 February 2026

山火事煙への長期曝露が心血管疾患リスクを高めることを解明(Prolonged Exposure to Wildfire Smoke Increases Cardiovascular Health Risks)

Abstract

Background
As wildfires intensify in a warming climate, prolonged exposure to smoke-derived fine particulate matter (PM2.5) poses significant health risks. However, the cardiovascular impacts of long-term cumulative exposure to smoke PM2.5 remain understudied.

Objectives
This study sought to investigate associations between long-term cumulative exposure to wildfire smoke PM2.5 and first cardiovascular disease (CVD) hospitalizations among U.S. Medicare beneficiaries and to assess potential effect modification by sociodemographic factors.

Methods
This population-based cohort study analyzed 65.2 million Medicare beneficiaries (aged ≥65 years) across the contiguous United States from 2017 to 2022. Wildfire smoke PM2.5 was estimated with the use of a spatiotemporal model at 10 × 10 km resolution and assigned to beneficiaries’ residential ZIP codes. We applied quasi-Poisson regressions to estimate relative risks (RRs) and 95% CIs of CVD hospitalizations for each decile of wildfire smoke PM2.5 concentrations, using exposures below the 1st percentile (0.08 μg/m3) as reference.

Results
Three-year average wildfire smoke PM2.5 was significantly associated with increased CVD hospitalization risk. We observed a nonlinear pattern peaking at moderate exposure levels (wildfire smoke PM2.5 concentrations between 0.26 and 0.32 μg/m3) for overall CVD (RR: 1.04; 95% CI: 1.03-1.05), ischemic heart disease (RR: 1.07; 95% CI: 1.06-1.09), and arrhythmias (RR: 1.06; 95% CI: 1.04-1.07). Cerebrovascular hospitalizations showed an increasing trend across exposure levels. Beneficiaries of lower socioeconomic status were potentially more vulnerable.

Conclusions
Long-term cumulative wildfire smoke PM2.5 exposure is associated with elevated CVD hospitalization risk, varying by exposure levels and individual characteristics. These findings underscore the need for targeted public health strategies to mitigate cardiovascular risks among older adults with the occurrence of wildfires.

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