家族のがん負担がIBD患者の大腸がんリスクを予測(Family cancer burden predicts risk in IBD patients)

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2026-09-03 カロリンスカ研究所(KI)

カロリンスカ研究所の研究チームは、炎症性腸疾患(IBD)患者における大腸・直腸がんの発症リスクと家族歴の関係を、スウェーデンの大規模な全国登録データを用いて調査した。1996~2023年のIBD患者12万4,387人を一般人口約120万人と比較し、中央値11年間追跡した結果、IBD患者のうち大腸・直腸がんを発症したのは1,882人だった。特に、第一度近親者(親・兄弟姉妹・子)に大腸がん患者が2人以上いるIBD患者は、家族歴のない患者に比べて発症リスクが約2.6倍高かった。一方、第一度近親者が50歳未満で大腸がんを発症した場合のリスク上昇は約50%にとどまった。従来のIBD患者向け国際ガイドラインでは若年発症の家族歴が重視されているが、本研究は家族内の罹患者数そのものが重要なリスク指標となる可能性を示す。今後、家族歴を考慮した個別化されたがんサーベイランスへの反映が期待される。

<関連情報>

炎症性腸疾患患者および対照群の一般集団における大腸がんリスクに対する家族歴の影響
Impact of Family History on Colorectal Cancer Risk in Inflammatory Bowel Disease and in Matched General Population Comparators

Åsa H. Everhov, Kári Kristjánsson, Jonas F. Ludvigsson, Jonas Halfvarson, Ann-Sofie Backman, Pär Myrelid, Caroline Nordenvall, Henrik Toft Sorensen, Johan Askling, Ola Olén
Gastroenterology  Available online: 3 September 2026
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1053/j.gastro.2026.08.029

Background
/Aims: Few studies have explored how family history of colorectal cancer (CRC) affects CRC incidence in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). We estimated CRC incidence rates (IRs) and IR differences, by family history of CRC, and the interaction between IBD and family history.

Methods
Nationwide, register-based cohort study 1996-2023, including patients with IBD and matched (age, sex, parish, year) comparators from the general population. The exposure was family history, defined as the number of first-degree relatives (parent, sibling, or child) and their age at CRC diagnosis (<50 or ≥50 years).

Results
During a median follow-up of 11 years, 1,882 CRC events occurred in 124,387 patients with IBD (IR 1.17[95%CI:1.12-1.23]/1,000 person-years) and 14,177 CRC events in 1,213,641 comparators (IR 0.88[95%CI:0.86-0.89]/1,000 person-years). In IBD, the greatest CRC risk increase was seen in those with ≥2 affected relatives: 2.69(95%CI:0.60-4.78) additional cases per 1,000 person-years versus no family history, while risk increase with early-onset CRC heredity was modest: 0.42(95%CI: -0.47-1.31)/1,000 person-years. The IRs were comparable between patients and matched comparators with the same family history, except among those without family history of CRC, where the CRC incidence was higher in IBD. The relative effect of family history was weaker in IBD, where the baseline CRC risk was already elevated.

Conclusion
On the absolute scale, family history of CRC increased CRC incidence similarly in IBD and matched comparators, with the greatest increase in individuals with multiple affected relatives. Guidelines advise special attention to patients with family history of early-onset CRC; our findings raise the question if surveillance strategies should instead prioritize patients with multiple affected relatives.

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