気候変動に対してカブトムシが勝つか負けるかは、生息地が左右する(Habitat will dictate whether ground beetles win or lose against climate change)

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北米の農業の健全性は、気候変動に対するカブトムシの反応に左右される。 Health of North American agriculture will depend on ground beetle response to climate change.

2023-03-23 ペンシルベニア州立大学(PennState)

北米の農作物の成功は、食物連鎖の比較的見えない要素であるカブトムシに部分的に依存している。
ペンシルベニア州立大学の最新の研究によると、これらの昆虫の中には、気候変動に伴い一部は繁栄する一方、他の種は減少する可能性がある。研究者らは、種の特徴と生息地によって反応が大きく異なるため、保全活動に重要な影響を与える可能性があると結論づけた。

<関連情報>

気候変動への反応を制御する生息地-特性相互作用: 北米産地虫類(オサムシ科) Habitat–trait interactions that control response to climate change: North American ground beetles (Carabidae)

Tong Qiu, Aaron J. Bell, Jennifer J. Swenson, James S. Clark
Global Ecology and Biogeography  Published: 23 March 2023
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.13670

Details are in the caption following the image

Abstract

Aim
As one of the most diverse and economically important families on Earth, ground beetles (Carabidae) are viewed as a key barometer of climate change. Recent meta-analyses provide equivocal evidence on abundance changes of terrestrial insects. Generalizations from traits (e.g., body size, diets, flights) provide insights into understanding community responses, but syntheses for the diverse Carabidae have not yet emerged. We aim to determine how habitat and trait syndromes mediate risks from contemporary and future climate change on the Carabidae community.

Location
North America.

Time period
2012–2100.

Major taxa studied
Ground beetles (Carabidae).

Methods
We synthesized the abundance and trait data for 136 species from the National Ecological Observatory Network (NEON) and additional raw data from studies across North America with remotely sensed habitat characteristics in a generalized joint attribute model. Combined Light Detection and RAnging (LiDAR) and hyperspectral imagery were used to derive habitat at a continental scale. We evaluated climate risks on the joint response of species and traits by expanding climate velocity to response velocity given habitat change.

Results
Habitat contributes more variations in species abundance and community-weighted mean traits compared to climate. Across North America, grassland fliers benefit from open habitats in hot, dry climates. By contrast, large-bodied, burrowing omnivores prefer warm-wet climates beneath closed canopies. Species-specific abundance changes predicted by the fitted model under future shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP) scenarios are controlled by climate interactions with habitat heterogeneity. For example, the mid-size, non-flier is projected to decline across much of the continent, but the magnitudes of declines are reduced or even reversed where canopies are open. Conversely, temperature dominates the response of the small, frequent flier Agonoleptus conjunctus, causing projected change to be more closely linked to regional temperature changes.

Main conclusions
Carabidae community reorganization under climate change is being governed by climate–habitat interactions (CHI). Species-specific responses to CHI are explained by trait syndromes. The fact that habitat mediates warming impacts has immediate application to critical habitat designation for carabid conservation.

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