説明可能なAIにより甲状腺がんのリンパ節転移予測を改善(Explainable AI Improves Prediction of Lymph Node Metastasis in Thyroid Cancer)

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2026-09-08 合肥物質科学研究院(HFIPS)

中国科学院合肥物质科学研究院の研究チームは、甲状腺乳頭癌(PTC)患者について、術前に中央頸部リンパ節転移リスクを予測する説明可能AI(XAI)手法を開発した。4病院のPTC患者428人、508結節の超音波画像と臨床情報を用い、異なる超音波撮像法の情報を統合して機械学習モデルを構築した。独立した外部検証ではAUC 0.844を達成し、良好な予測性能を示した。さらに、このAIは単なるリスクスコアを提示するだけでなく、予測に寄与した画像上の特徴を可視化できるため、放射線科医がAIの判断根拠を確認できる。経験の異なる6人の放射線科医による評価では、説明可能AIの支援により診断精度と判定の一致度が向上した。本研究は、マルチモーダル医療画像と臨床専門知識を結び付け、透明性の高いAI支援診療を実現する可能性を示している。

説明可能なAIにより甲状腺がんのリンパ節転移予測を改善(Explainable AI Improves Prediction of Lymph Node Metastasis in Thyroid Cancer)
Clinical validation workflow for the explainable AI system combining multimodal ultrasound to predict central lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma (Image by WANG Tengfei)

<関連情報>

乳頭状甲状腺癌における中心リンパ節転移の術前リスク層別化のための、説明可能なAI支援型マルチモーダル超音波ラジオミクス Explainable AI–Assisted Multimodal Ultrasound Radiomics for Preoperative Risk Stratification of Central Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

Zhengqin Huang,Junjie Wang,Meiwen Chen,Xuan Chu,Jingyu Li,Xiyan Sun,Lizhuang Yang,Stephen TC Wong,Yongchao Chen,Tengfei Wang & Hai Li
Journal of imaging Informatics in Medicine  Published:29 July 2026
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1007/s10278-026-02141-5

Abstract

The objective was to develop and validate an explainable artificial intelligence (AI)–based multimodal approach for preoperative risk stratification of central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) and to evaluate its role in supporting radiologist decision-making. This multicenter retrospective study enrolled patients with pathologically confirmed PTC from four hospitals. Preoperative two-dimensional ultrasound, strain elastography, shear-wave elastography, and clinical variables were integrated to develop a multimodal predictive model. Model interpretability was achieved using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) to provide feature-level explanations supporting clinical interpretation. To assess clinical usability, a controlled reader study was conducted in which six radiologists with varying experience independently evaluated cases under three conditions: without AI assistance, with basic AI assistance (probability output only), and with explainable AI assistance (visualized feature-level contributions). Model performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), and reader performance was assessed using paired statistical comparisons and interreader agreement analysis. A total of 428 patients (mean age, 44 years ± 12; 369 women) with 508 PTC nodules were included, of whom 225 (44.3%) had CLNM. The multimodal model achieved AUCs of 0.975, 0.917, and 0.844 in the training, validation, and external test cohorts, respectively, outperforming single-modality and simplified fusion approaches (p < 0.05). SHAP identified age, texture-derived radiomic features, and elastography-derived stiffness-related features as key contributors. In the reader study, explainable AI assistance significantly improved diagnostic accuracy across all experience levels, increased diagnostic confidence, and raised human–AI agreement to substantial or almost-perfect levels. An explainable AI–based multimodal approach enables accurate preoperative risk stratification of CLNM in PTC and improves radiologist diagnostic performance, with potential to support clinical decision-making within radiology workflows.

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